OBT: Broncos’ Most Likely Losses — Clay’s Odds, Schedule Danger Zones & Where Denver Could Slip

On today’s Orange & Blue Today, Cecil Lammey breaks down which games on the 2026 Broncos schedule are the most likely losses, based on Mike Clay’s win‑probability projections. Denver is favored or at least even in almost every matchup — but a few games stand out as true danger zones.

The Broncos have only three games where they’re below a 50% chance to win:

• Vs. Rams — 39%

• At Chiefs — 48%

• At Chargers — 49%

Then come the “coin‑flip but tricky” matchups:

• At Patriots — 50%

• At 49ers — 51%

• Vs Seahawks — 53%

• At Steelers — 58%

We dig into why these specific games are projected as the toughest, what matchups or travel spots create the biggest problems, and whether Denver — a contender — can flip some of these into statement wins.

🔥 In this episode:

• Why the Rams are Denver’s toughest projected matchup

• Why Arrowhead remains a near coin‑flip even for a 14‑win team

• Why the Chargers matchup is sneakier than people think

• Which “50/50” games could swing the AFC playoff race

• How Denver can turn projected losses into tone‑setting wins

Drop your take in the comments — which game do YOU think is the Broncos’ toughest matchup in 2026.

What’s the latest with the Denver Broncos? Cecil Lammey and Andrew Mason go inside the orange and blue every weekday, keeping fans in the know.